A look back and ahead.
First: Happy New Year
Predictions from last year and comments:
I am not going to make predictions about the 2020 Presidential election after the error I made back in 2016.
Well, I ended up making a prediction and being essentially wrong again, since I predicted a relatively easy Biden victory, not a narrow real Trump victory followed by a stolen election in favor of His Fraudulency Biden. Lesson: Don’t trust polls about Trump.
I will say that I expect Trump will continue to be a fraud and he may shift right in his campaign rhetoric in order to fire up his dispirited base.
Yes and no. On the one hand, Trump campaigned to the left, with his pandering to Blacks and Hispanics. On the other hand, in the last weeks of his campaign, he attacked Critical Race Theory and did other dog whistling to his base.
I expect that Counter-Currents will continue its sad decline with respect to content – we’ll be seeing more of the likes of Jeelvy in the year to come. Johnson will continue to be Gaslighting Greg. Johnson will – especially if Trump wins - pretend he never wrote that “Trump is toast in 2020 no matter what.”
Well, Johnson has continued to make believe that he never wrote that. We have had more of Jeelvy and now Johnson has added Jim Goad to the mix – so this was accurate. See this. And then, when you thought things couldn't get any worse with Counter-Currents (I suppose that is naive), "Andrew Hamilton" returns. Predicting a continued decline of Counter-Currents must be one of the easiest and least informative predictions possible.
The HBDers – both the Jeurasian and Nordicist factions – will continue to lie about race and racial science.
Yes, and lying by omission as well as commission – the genetic study on Ancient Rome being a prime example.
Spencer disavowing the Far Right in 2020 – 50:50 chance.
Didn’t happen yet, but I’ll put the same odds for 2021.
I predict that one of the following – Johnson, Spencer, AIM - will suffer some sort of major defeat or embarrassment or failure in 2020.
Spencer’s legal troubles and his cringeworthy endorsement of His Fraudulency Biden fits the bill here.
I predict that attempts will be made to revive the Alt Right – in spirit if not in name - due to the Trump campaign, but that it’ll be a farce.
Well, that happened with respect to Groyperism.
I predict that there is some sort of ongoing, significant infiltration of the Far Right going on right now, but whether it’ll be overtly discovered in 2020 is unknown. A (unlikely, in my opinion) possibility is that the infiltration will be announced at such a time and in such a manner to attempt to harm Trump’s re-election chances, although this is just pure speculation (I’m not confident about the timing. I am confident that something is going on, but when the other shoe will drop, it is hard to say).
Who knows? It may be happening, but we do not know anything yet. There was no infiltration announced around the time of the election – I was wrong there. When I'm wrong, I'm wrong; I admit it.
Given the upcoming election, we can expect more embarrassing endorsements, obsessions, and disavowals from the candidates concerning people such as Princess Tulsi Coconut and Andy Eggroll. At the same time, the Quota Queens, moving forward past the election, will pretend that they never endorsed a non-White woman who supports reparations for Negroes (Duke with Coconut) and promoted both Coconut as well as a White-hating Chinaman who wants to buy off White acceptance of their racial dispossession with $100 per month (Spencer and Johnson with Eggroll).
Spencer endorsed and voted for Biden – so this was right on target.
After the Greta Thunberg and Hubert Humphrey comedies, who will be the next “Nordish” leftist to be praised by the likes of Counter-Currents (‘we need more people like them”) or Durocher (“a great benefit to all humanity”)? John Lindsay? George McGovern? Bill Clinton?
It was Bill Clinton – Sallis right again, on target.
We will likely see more evidence, more surface manifestations, of the “movement” version of “the deep state” – the intersection between the homosexual cabal, the HBDers, the Nordicists, etc. Every once in a while some sign emerges of this, like a flash of lightning in a dark stormy sky, illuminating the hidden realities.
This certainly came true, with Counter-Currents revealing itself as a HBD multiculturalist supporter of 10% alien elements in the population of a “White ethnostate” – making America comfortable for “Rosie and the kids.” The anti-Italianism of Goad; the re-emergence of "Andrew Hamilton" - 100% on target, a solid check mark for Sallisian prescience. Johnson made a small critique of Nordicism on a livestream, but that is essentially meaningless, as his blog itself continues to promote that ideology.
Predictions and possibilities for 2021 (and beyond):
Will Nick Fuentes begin to replace Richard Spencer as the bogeyman for Greg Johnson?
Spencer leaving Der Movement, again 50:50 for 2021; I would say 80:20 for the next five years.
If and when crackdowns on the Right commences, will important moles and infiltrators be revealed?
Likely another archaeogenetics disaster for Der Movement will occur – Ancient Egypt?
The decline of Groyperism?
Chances of a Trump indictment in 2021, state and/or federal: 60:40; over the next four years, 80:20
It is likely that some unpleasant “dirt” on the Trump Presidency will come out that will be disturbing to Der Movement – evidence of Trump’s insincerity, or perhaps an illumination as to the degree of power Kushner has had over the Trump Presidency.
We will continue to see more evidence of the HBD-Nordicist-ethnonationalist alliance, including, but not limited to, the declining Counter Currents exhibiting a “woke” “White nationalism" comfortable for “Rosie and the kids.” And more dogmatic Nordicism, no doubt, regardless of Johnson's claims to the contrary in a livestream. The Johnsonian ethnostate: Nordics, East Asians, Jews, and homosexuals of all types.
But, on the other hand, what to make of the brief burst of fervid anti-MacDonaldism that erupted at Counter-Currents in December? Was it a brief passing storm signifying nothing or the portent of more to come? It could be simply tit-for-tat: MacDonald allows Joyce to do his thing and in response Johnson lets "Hamilton" (and fellow-traveler commentators) do his thing. It is something to keep on eye on, but one cannot read too much into it; after all, the Quota Queens tend to remember that they need to "circle the wagons" to protect their mutual affirmative action advantages (although Johnson's hatred of Spencer is too much to overcome, even to protect their shared quota benefits).
The “movement” grifters will keep on grifting.
Will Jim Goad finish out 2021 still affiliated with Counter-Currents? I’d say a better than even chance, but no way is it 100%. Assuming Counter-Currents is still around by the time of the next Presidential election – chances that Goad is still affiliated - no more than 40%.
I would like to point out that my general prediction of the past few years that the HBD-Nordicist-ethnonationalist alliance will be more and more obvious, with Counter-Currents playing an ever-more-important role, has been, of course, shown to be accurate. With Goad’s anti-Italianism, the emergence of anti-Italian commentators, and the return of the hyper-Nordicist plagiarist "Andrew Hamilton," Counter-Currents is (with respect to on the ground reality, as opposed to brief livestream comments) increasingly throwing its lot in with Nordicism, and abandoning any pretense of being for all Whites.
It is very likely that if the System/Left starts cracking down on Der Movement, the Quota Queens with their “more of the same” will be woefully unprepared and we’ll all hear and read the equivalent of “wha’ happen?”
Relating that to the Counter-Currents comments above, one prediction that can be made is that as Der Movement comes under increasing pressure from the Left, it will “contract” and become narrower in scope, both ideologically and as far as its outreach efforts. One can say it will become more “groupuscular” and “rhizome”-like. Thus, various “movement” factions will contract to what they consider their real core constituency, which should be very revealing. This would have the effect of accelerating Counter-Currents’ focus on HBD-Nordicism and petty nationalist ethnonationalism, and its abandonment of a “big tent” approach to all Whites. The homosexualism of Counter-Currents would be expected to increase as well, that being a core component of the blog’s identity. When under stress, the inner self is unmasked. We need to consider the types of people still attracted to Greg Johnson and Counter-Currents, even after all of the feuding, the gaslighting, the Pilleater Chronicles, the infiltrations, the promotion of O’Meara and Buttercup Dew. Here, I’m talking primarily of the higher-level supporters and associates, including the writers:
- People who either are part of the affirmative action “one of the boys” club and/or want to maintain their political viability in their “movement” by remaining on good terms with Johnson and avoiding being the target of his feuding. After all, one could imagine that certain genteel “movement” “leaders” would abhor being called a “piece of shit” by Johnson on a livestream/podcast and certainly wouldn’t want Johnson to start his song-and-dance of advising people not to attend their conferences.
- Given the perception that Johnson and Counter-Currents, after all of their problems and scandals, cannot afford to be choosy with whom they associate, and given the directions Counter-Currents is now going, there are some who will “hold their nose” and use Counter-Currents in an instrumental fashion to promote certain agendas. Homosexualism definitely, but also Nordicists may well be willing to support Counter-Currents in exchange for being given a forum on that blog. Certainly, Nordicism and homosexualism are wholly compatible, not only from certain rumors that have been floating around the “movement” for decades about certain individuals, but also for racial-aesthetic reasons – recall Friberg claiming that Johnson’s major comment about Sweden was about all of the "beautiful males” among the population.
If the Republicans try to cut an immigration deal with Biden then it may well be time to implement The Sallis Strategy – withholding enough White votes from the GOP to make them unelectable at the state and federal level, thus either forcing them to take White interests seriously (leading to Suvorov’s Law – revolutions typically take place when repression is relaxed not when the repression is greatest) or leading to third party possibilities – anything to break the political status quo. Now, some would say that’s what the 5% crowd was all about – but the point is to implement the strategy at the right time. The 2020 election – and the Jan Georgia Senatorial runoff – was/is not the right time. One must judge the costs and benefits for every scenario – the inept “movement” with its failure affirmative action leadership is not prepared for leftist oppression and pathetic White cucks in general really need more time. However, we are fast approaching the situation that if right-wing populism is no longer going to find fertile ground in the GOP, it’s time to implement The Sallis Strategy. We’ll see.